Description: In this paper we propose a model that can be used to analyze correlated claims data. In the process we introduce a class of multivariate generalized Poisson distributions. Then we present posterior distributions of its parameters. These distributions are difficult to manipulate, so we employ Markov chain Monte Carlo methods to draw random numbers from posteriors and predictive distributions. We present a collection of EXCEL VBA functions and subroutines to perform the simulations.

Description: In 2003, the Society of Actuaries' Board of Governors approved a redesign of the education and examination system. Since that time, considerable progress has been made with regard to implementation. This presentation from Session 84 of the SOA May 2004 Anaheim Spring Meeting gives the attendees a review of the proposal, progress made to date, and implications for actuarial education and training programs. From the Record of the Society of Actuaries, Vol. 30, No. 1.

Description: This paper derives exact expressions for the ultimate ruin probability and establishes the effect of correlation on ruin probability using the Wiener-Hopf factorization.