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Session 091: Medicaid Margin Assumptions - Opening the Black Box
Medicaid managed care organizations (MCOs). In this session, we will discuss the primary components of the ... assumptions in the public for the first time. Managed Care; health risks; Medicaid; Risk Measurement; Cost ...- Authors: Sabrina Gibson, Michelle L Raleigh, James Randolph Piekut, Jaredd Martin Keith Simons
- Date: May 2019
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Topics: Health & Disability>Health insurance; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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A Non-Traditional Actuarial Role
A Non-Traditional Actuarial Role Profile of an actuary in a non-traditional actuarial role: focusing on medical ... retrospective and prospective. Assumptions;Health care costs; 9547 5/1/2010 12:00:00 AM ...- Authors: Carolyn Young
- Date: May 2010
- Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions; Strategic Insight and Integration; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Health Watch
- Topics: Actuarial Profession>Alternative careers; Health & Disability>Health information technology; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Technology & Applications>Analytics and informatics
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A Demographic Approach to Forecasting Health Insurance Benefit Costs
A Demographic Approach to Forecasting Health Insurance Benefit Costs This is a poster presentation about a study ... health benefit populations. Demographics;Health care costs; 14525 7/30/2009 12:00:00 AM ...- Authors: Hallie J Kintner, David A Swanson
- Date: Jul 2009
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Risk Evaluation in the Final Stages of the Pandemic
Evaluation in the Final Stages of the Pandemic The direct and indirect effects of the pandemic have impacted ... By David Brentlinger Small Talk, August 2022 The direct and indirect effects of the pandemic have impacted ...- Authors: David Brentlinger
- Date: Jul 2022
- Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Small Talk
- Topics: Enterprise Risk Management>Capital management - ERM; Enterprise Risk Management>Risk measurement - ERM; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Sensitivity testing; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Value at risk - Modeling & Statistical Methods
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Underwriting Gain in Managed Medicaid: Starting the Conversation
Underwriting Gain in Managed Medicaid: Starting the Conversation According to the Actuarial ... 49 (ASOP 49), actuarially sound Medicaid managed care capitation rates will include a provision for underwriting ...- Authors: Jaredd Martin Keith Simons, James Randolph Piekut
- Date: Nov 2019
- Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Health Watch
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Scenario generation; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Simulation
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When Affordability Savings Do Not Reduce Costs
observations will be closer to the average. Health care actuaries need to understand and be able to mitigate ... costs due to an intervention.” APPLICATION TO HEALTH CARE A 2006 study by the Agency for Healthcare Research ...- Authors: Tony Pistilli
- Date: Dec 2020
- Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Health Watch
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Regression analysis; Predictive Analytics>Modeling techniques; Predictive Analytics>Quality control & model governance
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Corporate Models and Assumptions
However, the dis- tinction is helpful to define the primary emphasis for the development of each assumption ... contribute to policy loans. It was determined that two primary factors could be used to closely :reflect the amount ...- Authors: Allan Affleck, Robert A Lyle, Kihong Sung
- Date: Mar 1977
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Record of the Society of Actuaries
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Deterministic models; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models
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Best Methods and Practices in Judgmental Forecasting
Economists are no different: judgment is “the primary factor that the economist uses in converting mere ... optimistic and one pessimistic scenario. The primary purpose of a scenario is to constrain judgmental ...- Authors: Alan Mills
- Date: Jul 2010
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Forecasting mortality in the presence of missing data: an application to Chinese population
Forecasting mortality in the presence of missing data: an application to Chinese population ... rates cannot be found in the public domain. The primary objective of this paper is to investigate how we ...- Authors: Ping An
- Date: Jul 2010
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Topics: Demography>Mortality - Demography; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Projections - How to Make Them and How to Use Them
crude illustration, it should be prepared with great care, and should be as far as possible realistic. The ... projection can be obtained if it is run without the direct use of the service tables and the benefit schedules ...- Authors: Robert F Link, Robert J Myers, A M Niessen, Dorrance C. Bronson, W Rulon Williamson, Herbert J. Stark
- Date: Nov 1950
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Pensions & Retirement