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  • Beware stochastic model risk!
    Beware stochastic model risk! The article warns against treating the results of a stochastic model with more deference than other actuarial analysis, and describes some hidden risks involved with ...

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    • Authors: Stephen Strommen
    • Date: Sep 2019
    • Competency: Professional Values; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Risks & Rewards
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Scenario generation; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Simulation; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models
  • PBR Simplified Methods Project
    PBR Simplified Methods Project Summary of the SOA research project on PBR Simplified Methods. Describes the multi-risk scenario generator, central estimate assumptions, assumption objectivity ...

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    • Authors: Mark Birdsall
    • Date: Apr 2019
    • Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: The Financial Reporter
    • Topics: Life Insurance>Reserves - Life Insurance; Life Insurance>Secondary guarantees; Life Insurance>Term life; Life Insurance>Universal life; Life Insurance>Whole life; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Conditional Tail Expectation; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Deterministic models; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Estimation methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Modeling efficiency; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Scenario generation; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Sensitivity testing; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models
  • Economic Scenario Generators, Part I: Motivation for Stochastic Modeling
    Economic Scenario Generators, Part I: Motivation for Stochastic Modeling This article is the first installment of a three-part series that aims to provide an overview of ESGs and will focus on ...

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    • Authors: Dean Kerr, Matthew Zhang, Rahat Jain
    • Date: Nov 2019
    • Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions; Strategic Insight and Integration; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: The Modeling Platform
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Scenario generation; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models