Description: This is an Editorial describing the need for actuaries to upgrade skills or risk minimization from artificial intelligence.

Description: This project obtains ensemble simulations of surface atmospheric temperature over North America.

Description: Often actuarial practitioners are faced with working with data that is less than ideal. The data may be observed with gaps in it, a model may suggest variables that are observed at different frequencies, and sometimes predictive analytic results are very fragile to the inclusion or omission of just a few observations in the sample. Data, particularly big data, are often "messy" and something must be done about it. What is the actuary to do about these very practical matters? These types of questions are what this presentation is intended to address. Concerns on missing data, outliers, nonlinearity, mixed-frequency, cross-correlations are illustrated using real datasets in the Asia-Pacific countries. Some possible solutions to the messy data problems will be discussed.

Description: Artificial intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) are accelerating us into the fourth industrial revolution. In the next few years technological change and innovation will be rapid. The implications of AI on the actuarial profession are real and game changing. This session will help health actuaries understand what to expect from AI, how to begin using AI, and how AI will dramatically enhance the actuarial profession in the near future.

Description: Read the February 2020 issue of Predictive Analytics and Futurism published by the Predictive Analytics and Futurism Section. Newsletter provide practical information for the working actuary, articles on trends that impact sections and news about section activities.

Description: A description of the operation of an R package for experience studies. Premium patterns, lapse rates, and mortality rates can be calculated.

Description: Feature article discussing model monitoring

Description: Lincoln Financial Group announced the beginning of a two-year data and analytics talent upskilling program with the Society of Actuaries, a global professional organization for actuaries. The SOA will facilitate training for Lincoln employees through a customized multi-phase educational program focusing on big data and predictive analytics.

Description: The actuarial profession is changing rapidly and the skills needed to be successful are also changing. In this session, we will debate key topics and questions, such as: What is the predominant future career path for actuaries? Specialists or generalists? Does the actuarial profession have a meaningful value prop outside our core domains e.g. insurance? What skills are needed for the actuary of the future? What’s the best approach to improve actuarial storytelling to non-actuarial audiences? What’s the role of actuaries to managing and predicting emerging trends and assumptions? What is the role of actuaries in relation to development and ownership of advanced modeling? Is the future actuarial profession smaller/larger than it is today? In either case, how does it differ from today in terms of make-up, deployment, function, purpose, value add, etc.?

Description: Creating a predictive model is one thing, but then taking that model and getting full stakeholder buy-in is another. Learn from presenters' experiences and insights on proving model effectiveness in the long-term care (LTC), life and annuity spaces. Explore various topics such as feasibility, model transparency, fairness and equity, ROI measurement, data assets and compliance, infrastructure and more. By the end of the session, you will gain an understanding of how to navigate the challenges of proving the effectiveness of predictive modeling and obtaining management buy-in.